Home
/
Insights
/
Medium and Long Term Outlook for Low Carbon Transition in Tianjin Using EPS Modeling
Medium and Long Term Outlook for Low Carbon Transition in Tianjin Using EPS Modeling
Chinese
April 2026
Report Summary
Energy Transition Quantitative Modeling Tools Subnational Climate Action
Summary:
This report assesses the low-carbon transition pathway for Tianjin Municipality under China's carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals, using the Energy Policy Simulator (EPS) model to quantify energy consumption and greenhouse gas emission trajectories to 2060. The methodology employs a scenario-based quantitative modeling framework, constructing three scenarios—a 2020 Policy Freeze scenario, a Policy scenario, and a Dual Carbon scenario—to evaluate the emission reduction effects of different policy combinations. The EPS Tianjin 2024 model covers five core sectors: power, industry, transport, buildings, and land use and forestry, capturing inter-sectoral linkages and mitigation potentials. The analysis identifies critical areas and priority policies for achieving carbon neutrality, assesses investment requirements, and evaluates the economic and employment impacts of the transition.
Suggested citation:
Medium and Long Term Outlook for Low Carbon Transition in Tianjin Using EPS Modeling. AUG 2026. iGDP Insight.
