Summary:

This policy brief analyzes the green and low-carbon development content in provincial-level recommendations for China's 15th Five-Year Plan (2026–2030). It systematically reviews 30 provincial documents to identify key "dual-carbon" (carbon peaking and carbon neutrality) priorities, including carbon peaking timelines, carbon emissions dual-control systems, new energy system construction, sectoral transitions (industry, transport, buildings, agriculture), and the deployment of zero-carbon parks, zero-carbon factories, and climate adaptation measures. The analysis is based on a systematic review and comparative analysis of provincial policy texts, categorizing and quantifying the frequency and content of policy keywords to identify regional patterns, alignment with national priorities, and local-level implementation focuses.

Suggested citation:

Li Siyin & Zhu Tongxin. (2026). Provincial "15th Five-Year Plan" Recommendations: Dual-Carbon Keywords (Policy Brief). Beijing: Institute for Global Decarbonization Progress (iGDP). February 2026.

License:

Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0)