{"id":2456,"date":"2025-11-12T20:56:44","date_gmt":"2025-11-12T12:56:44","guid":{"rendered":"\/?post_type=insight&#038;p=2456"},"modified":"2026-08-12T21:06:43","modified_gmt":"2026-08-12T13:06:43","slug":"medium-and-long-term-outlook-for-low-carbon-transition-in-hainan-using-eps-modeling","status":"publish","type":"insight","link":"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/insights\/medium-and-long-term-outlook-for-low-carbon-transition-in-hainan-using-eps-modeling\/","title":{"rendered":"Medium and Long-Term Outlook for Low Carbon Transition in Hainan Using EPS Modeling"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"2456\" class=\"elementor elementor-2456\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-fa6183f elementor-section-full_width elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"fa6183f\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-no\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-bb21aad\" data-id=\"bb21aad\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a02c0bf elementor-widget elementor-widget-igdp_insight_detail_hero\" data-id=\"a02c0bf\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"igdp_insight_detail_hero.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"row-report1\">\n\t\t<div class=\"wp\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"cur cur1\">\n\t\t<a href=\"\/\">Home<\/a>\n\t\t<i>\/<\/i>\n\t\t<a href=\"\/insights\/\">Insights<\/a>\n\t\t<i>\/<\/i>\n\t\t<span>Medium and Long-Term Outlook for Low Carbon Transition in Hainan Using EPS Modeling<\/span>\n\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"m-report1 wow fadeInUp\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"txt\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"inner\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"tit\">Medium and Long-Term Outlook for Low Carbon Transition in Hainan Using EPS Modeling<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"line\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"desc\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"background-image: url(\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/MyBasicTheme\/images\/igdp\/product\/icon3.svg);\">Chinese<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"background-image: url(\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/MyBasicTheme\/images\/igdp\/product\/icon4.svg);\">Nov 2025<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"background-image: url(\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/MyBasicTheme\/images\/igdp\/product\/icon5.svg);\">Report Summary<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"background-image: url(\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/MyBasicTheme\/images\/igdp\/product\/icon6.svg);\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"span\">Energy Transition<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"span\">Quantitative Modeling Tools<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"span\">Subnational Climate Action<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"desc2\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"span2\">Summary:<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"span3\">This report analyzes the low-carbon transition pathway for Hainan Province, which benefits from abundant non-fossil energy resources but faces unique challenges from the development of its Free Trade Port and its island geography. It employs the Energy Policy Simulator (EPS) model to quantify energy consumption and greenhouse gas emission trajectories to 2060 across three scenarios, covering power, industry, transport, buildings, and land use sectors. The analysis identifies priority policy measures by phase\u2014including nuclear power deployment, building energy efficiency standards, industrial electrification, renewable power integration, and aviation and shipping fuel alternatives\u2014and assesses investment requirements and macroeconomic impacts. It provides differentiated policy recommendations tailored to Hainan&#039;s &quot;clean energy island&quot; and &quot;low-carbon island&quot; development strategy.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"desc2\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"span2\">Suggested citation:<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"span3\">Song Manjiao, Wu Dan, Yang Peng, Li Xindi, Yuan Yating, Zhang Ming, &amp; Xu Yang. (2025).\u00a0Medium- and Long-Term Outlook for Low-Carbon Transition in Hainan\u2014Using EPS Modeling\u00a0(Report Summary). Beijing: Institute for Global Decarbonization Progress (iGDP). November 2025.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"desc2\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"span2\">License:<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"span3\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/\" class=\"link\">Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0)<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"igdp-report-download-buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025-11-IGDP-Report-Summary-ZH-Medium-and-Long-Term-Outlook-for-Low-Carbon-Transition-in-Hainan\u2014Using-EPS-Modeling.pdf\" class=\"g-btnr1\"><span style=\"background-image: url(\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/MyBasicTheme\/images\/igdp\/product\/icon7.svg);\">download zh<\/span><\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"picbox\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"pic\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-12-at-9.03.08-PM.jpg\" alt=\"Medium and Long-Term Outlook for Low Carbon Transition in Hainan Using EPS Modeling\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Home \/ Insights \/ Medium and Long-Term Outlook for Low  [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":2459,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"igdp_summary":"This report analyzes the low-carbon transition pathway for Hainan Province, which benefits from abundant non-fossil energy resources but faces unique challenges from the development of its Free Trade Port and its island geography. It employs the Energy Policy Simulator (EPS) model to quantify energy consumption and greenhouse gas emission trajectories to 2060 across three scenarios, covering power, industry, transport, buildings, and land use sectors. The analysis identifies priority policy measures by phase\u2014including nuclear power deployment, building energy efficiency standards, industrial electrification, renewable power integration, and aviation and shipping fuel alternatives\u2014and assesses investment requirements and macroeconomic impacts. It provides differentiated policy recommendations tailored to Hainan's \"clean energy island\" and \"low-carbon island\" development strategy.","igdp_featured_media":0,"igdp_download_file":0,"igdp_external_url":"","igdp_key_info":"","igdp_related_insights":[]},"insight_type":[215],"insight_region":[46],"igdp_topic":[147,159,150],"class_list":["post-2456","insight","type-insight","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","insight_type-report-summary","insight_region-china-subnational","igdp_topic-energy-transition","igdp_topic-quantitative-modeling-tools","igdp_topic-subnational-climate-action"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/insight\/2456","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/insight"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/insight"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/insight\/2456\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2463,"href":"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/insight\/2456\/revisions\/2463"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2459"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2456"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"insight_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/insight_type?post=2456"},{"taxonomy":"insight_region","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/insight_region?post=2456"},{"taxonomy":"igdp_topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/igdp_topic?post=2456"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}