{"id":2420,"date":"2025-12-12T19:51:34","date_gmt":"2025-12-12T11:51:34","guid":{"rendered":"\/?post_type=insight&#038;p=2420"},"modified":"2026-08-18T15:54:21","modified_gmt":"2026-08-18T07:54:21","slug":"medium-and-long-term-outlook-for-low-carbon-transition-in-shandong","status":"publish","type":"insight","link":"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/insights\/medium-and-long-term-outlook-for-low-carbon-transition-in-shandong\/","title":{"rendered":"Medium and Long-Term Outlook for Low Carbon Transition in Shandong: Developing a Dual-Carbon Pathway Using EPS Modeling"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"2420\" class=\"elementor elementor-2420\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-41e46ae elementor-section-full_width elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"41e46ae\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-no\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-e38f53b\" data-id=\"e38f53b\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-72da744 elementor-widget elementor-widget-igdp_insight_detail_hero\" data-id=\"72da744\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"igdp_insight_detail_hero.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"row-report1\">\n\t\t<div class=\"wp\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"cur cur1\">\n\t\t<a href=\"\/\">Home<\/a>\n\t\t<i>\/<\/i>\n\t\t<a href=\"\/insights\/\">Insights<\/a>\n\t\t<i>\/<\/i>\n\t\t<span>Medium and Long-Term Outlook for Low Carbon Transition in Shandong<\/span>\n\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"m-report1 wow fadeInUp\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"txt\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"inner\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"tit\">Medium and Long-Term Outlook for Low Carbon Transition in Shandong<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"subtit\">Developing a Dual-Carbon Pathway Using EPS Modeling<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"line\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"desc\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"background-image: url(\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/MyBasicTheme\/images\/igdp\/product\/icon3.svg);\">Chinese<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"background-image: url(\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/MyBasicTheme\/images\/igdp\/product\/icon4.svg);\">DEC 2025<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"background-image: url(\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/MyBasicTheme\/images\/igdp\/product\/icon5.svg);\">Report Summary<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"background-image: url(\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/MyBasicTheme\/images\/igdp\/product\/icon6.svg);\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"span\">Energy Transition<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"span\">Quantitative Modeling Tools<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"span\">Subnational Climate Action<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"desc2\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"span2\">Summary:<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"span3\">This report analyzes the long-term low-carbon transition pathway for Shandong Province under China&#039;s carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals. It employs the Energy Policy Simulator (EPS) model to quantify energy consumption and greenhouse gas emission trajectories to 2060 across three scenarios\u2014a 2020 Policy Freeze scenario, a Policy scenario, and a Dual Carbon scenario. The model covers five core sectors: power, industry, transport, buildings, and land use and forestry. The analysis identifies critical areas and priority policies for achieving carbon neutrality, assesses investment requirements, and evaluates the economic and employment impacts of the transition, providing a quantitative evidence base for provincial policymaking.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"desc2\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"span2\">Suggested citation:<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"span3\">Institute for Global Decarbonization Progress (iGDP) &amp; Shandong University of Finance and Economics, China International School of Low Carbon. (2025). Medium- and Long-Term Outlook for Low-Carbon Transition in Shandong\u2014Developing a Dual-Carbon Pathway Using EPS Modeling (Report Summary). Beijing: iGDP; Shandong University of Finance and Economics. November 2025.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"desc2\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"span2\">License:<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"span3\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/\" class=\"link\">Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0)<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"igdp-report-download-buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025-12-IGDP-Report-ZH-Medium-and-Long-Term-Outlook-for-Low-Carbon-Transition-in-Shandong\u2014Developing-a-Dual-Carbon-Pathway-Using-EPS-Modeling.pdf\" class=\"g-btnr1\"><span style=\"background-image: url(\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/MyBasicTheme\/images\/igdp\/product\/icon7.svg);\">download zh<\/span><\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"picbox\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"pic\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-12-at-8.03.29-PM.jpg\" alt=\"Medium and Long-Term Outlook for Low Carbon Transition in Shandong\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-0efe026 e-con e-atomic-element e-flexbox-base e-661b063 \" data-id=\"0efe026\" data-element_type=\"e-flexbox\" data-e-type=\"e-flexbox\" data-interaction-id=\"0efe026\">\n    \t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-53647ca elementor-widget elementor-widget-igdp_insight_detail_related\" data-id=\"53647ca\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"igdp_insight_detail_related.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"row-report4\" id=\"page09\">\n\t\t<div class=\"wp\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"g-titr1 wow fadeInUp\">Related<\/div>\n\t\t\t<ul class=\"ul-report4 wow fadeInUp\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/insights\/decarbonizing-steel-industry-thermal-systems-technological-pathways-and-practices\/\" class=\"con\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"txt\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"tit\">Decarbonizing Steel Industry Thermal Systems<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"desc\">This report examines the low-carbon transition pathways for thermal\/heating systems in China&#039;s steel industry, reviewing the policy drivers behind decarbonization and analyzing the technological trajectory across near-, medium-, and long-term horizons (2025\u20132060). It surveys and compares the applicability, economics, and emissions-reduction potential of key technologies\u2014including waste heat recovery, system efficiency improvements, and hydrogen-based metallurgy\u2014through in-depth case studies (HBIS Group&#039;s hydrogen metallurgy, Shougang Jingtang&#039;s process interface optimization, and Sinosteel\/CISP&#039;s hydrogen-based smelting reduction, among others). It further identifies the practical barriers to scaling these technologies (high green hydrogen costs, renewable energy intermittency, stranded-asset risk, and weak cross-sector coordination mechanisms), and proposes policy recommendations to accelerate the sector&#039;s shift toward integration with renewable energy systems.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"span1\">Report<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"date\">AUG 2026<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"picbox\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"pic\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"768\" height=\"1085\" src=\"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-07-at-1.11.52-PM-768x1085.jpg\" class=\"attachment-medium_large size-medium_large wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-07-at-1.11.52-PM-768x1085.jpg 768w, https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-07-at-1.11.52-PM-212x300.jpg 212w, https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-07-at-1.11.52-PM-725x1024.jpg 725w, https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-07-at-1.11.52-PM-1087x1536.jpg 1087w, https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-07-at-1.11.52-PM.jpg 1128w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/insights\/china-carbon-neutrality-tracker-2025-annual-report-green-and-low-carbon-transition-in-chinas-provincial-level-regions\/\" class=\"con\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"txt\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"tit\">China Carbon Neutrality Tracker 2025 Annual Report<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"desc\">This report tracks and quantitatively assesses the green and low-carbon transition of 30 Chinese provincial-level regions over the decade from 2013 to 2022 using the Subnational Low-Carbon and Green Index for China (Subnational LOGIC), which encompasses 26 indicators across four categories: carbon productivity; carbon emissions (covering energy, power, industry, buildings, transport, and agriculture); environmental conditions and land use; and policy systems and public participation. The analysis employs multiple classification frameworks\u2014economic-geographic regions, economic development stages (Pioneer, Leading, Catching-Up, and Developing Economies), national major regional strategies, and energy development positioning\u2014to identify structural divergences in transition patterns. It finds that scores improved across all provinces, with carbon productivity, energy, and power showing nationwide progress while transport, buildings, and industry remain key frontiers for deep decarbonization. The report also presents in-depth case studies of Guangdong, Jiangxi, Shanxi, and Hainan to examine differentiated transition pathways across economic development stages.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"span1\">Report<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"date\">JUN 2026<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"picbox\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"pic\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"768\" height=\"1082\" src=\"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-07-at-1.42.45-PM-768x1082.jpg\" class=\"attachment-medium_large size-medium_large wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-07-at-1.42.45-PM-768x1082.jpg 768w, https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-07-at-1.42.45-PM-213x300.jpg 213w, https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-07-at-1.42.45-PM-727x1024.jpg 727w, https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-07-at-1.42.45-PM-1090x1536.jpg 1090w, https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-07-at-1.42.45-PM.jpg 1124w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/insights\/consumption-constraints-in-chinas-green-hydrogen-amino-acid-industry\/\" class=\"con\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"txt\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"tit\">Consumption Constraints in China&#8217;s Green Hydrogen Amino Acid Industry<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"desc\">Examines the green hydrogen, ammonia, and methanol industry in China, contends that the sector is shifting from a supply-side capacity-expansion phase to a &quot;demand-constrained&quot; phase where commercial viability depends on forming a closed-loop offtake and consumption system, identifies critical bottlenecks\u2014including high production costs (2\u20133 times higher than conventional routes), insufficient port refueling infrastructure, heavy reliance on volatile international certification (e.g., ISCC) and external demand, and the failure of green premiums to translate into stable domestic willingness-to-pay\u2014and proposes a strategic policy reorientation from merely &quot;building production capacity&quot; to actively &quot;creating demand&quot; through enforceable domestic demand-side mechanisms (e.g., non-electric consumption targets, green procurement, and carbon market integration), enhanced domestic green certification and pricing capabilities, consumption-side incentives, and stricter project screening focused on commercial closure, in order to unlock the industry&#039;s low-carbon value, reduce dependence on external rules, and support its sustainable commercial scaling and contribution to China&#039;s energy transition.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"span1\">Commentary<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"date\">JUN 2026<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"picbox\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"pic\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"768\" height=\"1087\" src=\"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-07-at-12.48.16-PM-768x1087.jpg\" class=\"attachment-medium_large size-medium_large wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-07-at-12.48.16-PM-768x1087.jpg 768w, https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-07-at-12.48.16-PM-212x300.jpg 212w, https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-07-at-12.48.16-PM-724x1024.jpg 724w, https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-07-at-12.48.16-PM-1086x1536.jpg 1086w, https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-07-at-12.48.16-PM.jpg 1128w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zgjtb.com\/zhuanti\/2026-05\/06\/content_515948.html\" class=\"con\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"txt\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"tit\">Hainan&#8217;s Model for Promoting the Adoption of Battery-Swap Heavy-Duty Trucks<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"desc\">Hainan has built and put into operation 37 battery-swapping stations for heavy-duty trucks, providing basic coverage of the island\u2019s main highways and key industrial parks, thereby effectively advancing the transition of new-energy heavy-duty trucks from pilot projects in typical application scenarios to full-scale electrification across the region.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"span1\">Op-ed<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"date\">MAY 2026<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"picbox\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"pic\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"768\" height=\"512\" src=\"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/edwin-rodriguez-UeUc2ei0GOw-unsplash-768x512.jpg\" class=\"attachment-medium_large size-medium_large wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/edwin-rodriguez-UeUc2ei0GOw-unsplash-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/edwin-rodriguez-UeUc2ei0GOw-unsplash-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/edwin-rodriguez-UeUc2ei0GOw-unsplash-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/edwin-rodriguez-UeUc2ei0GOw-unsplash-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/edwin-rodriguez-UeUc2ei0GOw-unsplash-2048x1365.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/energy\/behind-chinas-boom-in-zero-carbon-industrial-parks\/\" class=\"con\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"txt\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"tit\">Behind China\u2019s Boom in \u2018Zero-Carbon Industrial Parks\u2019<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"desc\">As the parks multiply, unified standards and better carbon accounting are needed to maximize their potential.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"span1\">Op-ed<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"date\">APR 2026<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"picbox\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"pic\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"768\" height=\"512\" src=\"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/josh-beech-tXJhAFVOHVk-unsplash-768x512.jpg\" class=\"attachment-medium_large size-medium_large wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/josh-beech-tXJhAFVOHVk-unsplash-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/josh-beech-tXJhAFVOHVk-unsplash-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/josh-beech-tXJhAFVOHVk-unsplash-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/josh-beech-tXJhAFVOHVk-unsplash-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/josh-beech-tXJhAFVOHVk-unsplash-2048x1365.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/insights\/from-fuel-to-feedstock-chinas-fossil-fuel-turning-point-and-implications-for-subnational-decarbonization-in-carbon-intensive-industries\/\" class=\"con\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"txt\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"tit\">From Fuel to Feedstock: China&#8217;s Fossil Fuel Turning Point and Implications for Subnational Decarbonization in Carbon-Intensive Industries<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"desc\">This policy brief analyzes the structural shift in China&#039;s fossil energy consumption from fuel to feedstock, identifying provinces with high feedstock dependence and assessing the implications for subnational decarbonization under the &quot;dual control&quot; framework for carbon emissions. The methodology combines quantitative analysis of national and provincial energy statistics from the China Energy Statistical Yearbook (2019\u20132023) with a classification framework that ranks provinces based on the share of coal, oil, and natural gas used as feedstock relative to their total final consumption of each fuel. It then derives targeted policy recommendations centered on accelerating the deployment of green hydrogen, ammonia, and methanol as substitutes for fossil feedstocks in carbon-intensive industries, supported by a case study of Inner Mongolia&#039;s green hydrogen industry plan.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"span1\">Policy Brief<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"date\">APR 2026<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"picbox\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"pic\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"768\" height=\"1087\" src=\"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-11-at-9.56.29-PM-768x1087.jpg\" class=\"attachment-medium_large size-medium_large wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-11-at-9.56.29-PM-768x1087.jpg 768w, https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-11-at-9.56.29-PM-212x300.jpg 212w, https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-11-at-9.56.29-PM-723x1024.jpg 723w, https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-11-at-9.56.29-PM-1085x1536.jpg 1085w, https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2026-08-11-at-9.56.29-PM.jpg 1126w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/ul>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\n<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This report analyzes the long-term low-carbon transition pathway for Shandong Province under China&#8217;s carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals. It employs the Energy Policy Simulator (EPS) model to quantify energy consumption and greenhouse gas emission trajectories to 2060 across three scenarios\u2014a 2020 Policy Freeze scenario, a Policy scenario, and a Dual Carbon scenario. The model covers five core sectors: power, industry, transport, buildings, and land use and forestry. The analysis identifies critical areas and priority policies for achieving carbon neutrality, assesses investment requirements, and evaluates the economic and employment impacts of the transition, providing a quantitative evidence base for provincial policymaking.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":2421,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"igdp_summary":"This report analyzes the long-term low-carbon transition pathway for Shandong Province under China's carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals. It employs the Energy Policy Simulator (EPS) model to quantify energy consumption and greenhouse gas emission trajectories to 2060 across three scenarios\u2014a 2020 Policy Freeze scenario, a Policy scenario, and a Dual Carbon scenario. The model covers five core sectors: power, industry, transport, buildings, and land use and forestry. The analysis identifies critical areas and priority policies for achieving carbon neutrality, assesses investment requirements, and evaluates the economic and employment impacts of the transition, providing a quantitative evidence base for provincial policymaking.","igdp_featured_media":2421,"igdp_download_file":1717,"igdp_external_url":"","igdp_key_info":"","igdp_related_insights":[]},"insight_type":[215],"insight_region":[46],"igdp_topic":[147,159,150],"class_list":["post-2420","insight","type-insight","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","insight_type-report-summary","insight_region-china-subnational","igdp_topic-energy-transition","igdp_topic-quantitative-modeling-tools","igdp_topic-subnational-climate-action"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/insight\/2420","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/insight"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/insight"}],"version-history":[{"count":16,"href":"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/insight\/2420\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3827,"href":"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/insight\/2420\/revisions\/3827"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2421"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2420"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"insight_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/insight_type?post=2420"},{"taxonomy":"insight_region","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/insight_region?post=2420"},{"taxonomy":"igdp_topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/igdptest.symbol365.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/igdp_topic?post=2420"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}